Archive for the ‘News’ Category

Weekly Web Watch 12/21/09 – 12/27/09

December 28, 2009

Actually, we’ll be going back a little further than Dec. 21 to make up for lost time.

A man attempted to bring down an airliner traveling from Amsterdam to Detroit by setting off explosives attached to his legs.  He was unsuccessful and had to be arraigned in the hospital where he is being treated for burns.  ABC News reports that the attack was fairly sophisticated and organized by al-Qaeda affiliates in Yemen.  The Transportation Security Agency issued a new set of guidelines for passengers on international flights (no policies have changed for domestic flights, though existing precautions may be enforced more rigorously), which Professor Bainbridge reviews and lampoons here.  Meanwhile, Stewart Baker, former Assistant Secretary of Policy for the Department of Homeland Security, raises some other questions about breakdowns in security policy.  IOZ cautions, however, that this may be a problem of too much information, rather than too little.  And Josh Gerstein says that the episode could complicate plans to close the detention center at Guantanamo.

The Democrats secured enough votes to force cloture on the health-care bill before the Senate.  Ben Nelson (D-Neb) will cast the final vote.  Mark Murray had been arguing that it was time for President Obama to “get mean” in order to whip Senate Democrats into line behind the bill.  Brendan Nyhan sighs at the belief that presidential willpower is all that’s needed to accomplish legislation and coins a neat new phrase: The Green Lantern theory of the presidency.  Hat tip to James Joyner.

The U.S. either backed or supported an attack in Yemen that targeted Anwar al-Aulaqi and two al-Qaeda leaders.  Initial reports suggested that al-Aulaqi, who had been implicated in the Fort Hood shootings, was killed, but that now appears doubtful.  At least 30 people, all suspected militants, were killed.

In December, 2003, the Department of Homeland Security raised the terror alert level to orange, warning of possible attacks that could exceed 9/11 in terror and damage.  As it turns out, the “chatter” that led to that heightened state of alert was, at least in part, drummed up by a Nevada man who conned the CIA into believing that he could detect “bar codes” in Al-Jazeera broadcasts, even though he could not explain how he was doing so.  Kudos to the French intelligence services, who eventually convinced the CIA that Dennis Montgomery was a con man (though they did not convince the Air Force, which gave Montgomery $3 million this January).  The original story is in Playboy, for those of you who don’t mind only reading the articles (advertisements don’t have nudity but may be NSFW depending on your sensitivities), and has been confirmed by former Homeland Security advisor Frances Townsend.

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The Eisenhower-Obama Doctrine? Ending the Military’s “Blank Check”

December 2, 2009

In the current political climate, the most dramatic point of President Obama’s West Point speech on Afghanistan. was neither his commitment of additional forces or the precise timing to begin a drawdown of our troops.  It was his determination to apply cost-benefit analysis to our military commitments.

Of course, it helps a President who has not served in the military if he can cite an iconic general for what should be a common-sense point.  So, he invoked Dwight D. Eisenhower for the doctrine:  “Each proposal must be weighed in the light of a broader consideration: the need to maintain balance in and among national programs.”

In post-Eisenhower Washington, this is revolutionary stuff.  As progressives propose initiative after initiative to improve the health, education and welfare of the American people, we are continually pounded by ominous predictions of ruinous cost.  Yet, when it comes to national defense, there appears to be no ambition too excessive, no cost too burdensome, no deficit too large.

By reciting what we might now call the Eisenhower-Obama Doctrine, President Obama, to my mind, is setting the stage for the rest of a two-term presidency.  He inherited, as he frequently reminds us, two wars, a huge budget deficit and an economy on the brink of depression.  He is willing to devote much of his first term energies to cleaning up the inherited messes in the economy and national security.  What he is not willing to do is put off the pursuit of other critical national priorities indefinitely. 

In a wise essay,  Jacob Weisberg recently predicted that Obama, by State of the Union time, is likely to appear as having accomplished more in the first year of his presidency than any chief executive since FDR.  Like Weisberg, I do not believe Democrats will scuttle health insurance reform altogether, and even the most modest version of what is being proposed would bring huge help to millions of Americans.  Add that to the start of an economic recovery and a repositioning of America in the eyes of the world and it looks like a pretty good year.

And how will things look by 2012?  President Obama has promised a complete withdrawal of combat troops from Iraq by the end of 2011.  I now predict he will do the same for Afghanistan by 2013.  Why?  In 18 months, there will either be discernible improvement in Afghanistan or not.  If there is, he has the same basis for phased withdrawal as now exists in Iraq.  If not, the American people will simply insist on a strategic exit.  And, if job growth begins to pick up next year or by spring of 2011, the Obama Administration will have set the table for a second term largely devoted to the domestic reforms that are pretty obviously at the top of the President’s personal to-do list.

That does not mean, of course, that jobs, education, financial services reform, climate change and the rest of the domestic agenda will be on hold until 2012.  There is much that might still be accomplished in the first term.  But the timing of withdrawal from Iraq and the beginning of a drawdown in Afghanistan helps to set a timeline for progress on the home front, as well.

In saying this, I do not want to be misinterpreted as happy with the current pace of change.  Like many progressives, I am angered by how slowly, if at all, those who undermined the rule of law and our economic security over the last decades have been brought to any measure of accountability.  The scope of congressional ambition with regard to health care, climate change, financial regulation, and education strikes me as too narrow – and I wish the Administration were turning its back yet more dramatically on Bush-era abuses and preposterous claims of executive power.

But President Obama has given me hope.  One of his favorite words is “persistence,” and his West Point speech seems to me to be signaling the time frame within which a persistent President can help deliver “change we can believe in.” Even as progressives rightfully keep pushing, President Obama seems determined not to let America’s reflexive support for all things military to blur his focus on other national priorities.   That’s a very big deal.  President Eisenhower would be proud.

Weekly Web Watch 11/16/09 – 11/22/09

November 24, 2009

The Senate has reversed position on bringing Guantanamo detainees into the U.S., shooting down an amendment that would have blocked funds from being used for that purpose.  The Washington Post points out, however, that this is more symbolic than practical.  Marc Ambinder points out that the real story is that 75 detainees will neither be charged nor transferred nor released.  Jonathan Hafetz, perhaps the best-known lawyer for Guantanamo detainees, says that detention policy remains “essentially lawless.”  Steve Aftergood, meanwhile, has posted up records from two House Judiciary Subcommittee hearings on military commissions.

Worried that Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and other accused terrorists might be acquitted by a civilian jury?  Rest assured, Attorney General Eric Holder has “thought about that possibility” and reminds you that, if they are acquitted, they will be put back into military detention.  Adam Serwer provides more details; Eric Posner says that this amounts to a “two-tier” system of justice.  John Yoo launches another critique, claiming that the trial will provide an “intelligence bonanza” to al-Qaeda.  Jack Goldsmith and Jim Comey argue that trial is the right decision, given the problems that commissions and tribunals have faced over the last eight years.  David Feige worries that precedents created by the case will impair future detainees from arguing their rights.  And Pat Buchanan asks whether this means we are no longer at war.

Many of you know that one of the arguments against military contractors is that their higher pay drains the U.S. military of qualified personnel.  USA Today now reports that a similar problem occurs at the top, where generals are often hired back and paid two to three times as much as they were earning while on duty to be “mentors.”  Many of the generals have concurrent jobs with defense contractors.

Time put together a story detailing how White House Counsel Gregory Craig found himself shoved out of the White House.  Also included is the story of how the Obama administration walked back some of their tough talk on transparency and openness in government.

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Weekly Web Watch 11/9/09 – 11/15/09

November 17, 2009

Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, alleged mastermind of the 9/11 attacks, will face trial in a civilian court in New York.  Glenn Greenwald laments that only some detainees will be selected for prosecution.  James Joyner fails to see the upside of providing a civilian trial.

President Obama is reportedly unhappy with the Afghanistan strategies that his advisors presented to him and wants them to redo the options to include more information about withdrawal estimates.  Fred Kaplan has some analysis of the president’s concerns, including his aversion to a decades-long counterinsurgency strategy.  Kevin Drum reports that the military may not provide any “light footprint” plans.  Rich Lowry says that second-guessing the military is below the president’s pay grade.  Meanwhile, Defense Secretary Bob Gates is getting upset with the media’s ability to find out about these deliberations.  “Everybody out there ought to just shut up,” he said, referring to leakers.  Of course, possibly the biggest leak occurred this week when U.S. Ambassador Karl Eikenberry sent two cables expressing doubt that Hamid Karzai is the right man for the job in Afghanistan.

White House Counsel Gregory Craig will step down early next year.  Craig, who was charged with closing Guantanamo Bay this year, had been under fire for his lack of progress with detainee issues and seeming lack of political awareness.

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Weekly Web Watch 11/2/09 – 11/8/09

November 10, 2009

The White House will ask Congress for supplemental war funding, continuing a practice that the Bush administration used to break up the full cost of the war.  Furthermore, McClatchy reports that the White House is planning to deploy an additional 34,000 troops to Afghanistan but is waiting for PR support before making an announcement.  Meanwhile, Andrew Exum has found three alternative strategies to the McChrystal plan that he supports and has posted them up.  For quicker thoughts, see Robert Farley’s pithy comments on the coming choice of defense strategy, or the Economist’s quick hit on why Afghanistan is not Iraq.

An Army psychiatrist, Maj. Nidal Malik, opened fire at Fort Hood, killing at least a dozen soldiers.  Malik was scheduled to be deployed to Afghanistan.  Speculation abounds about his motives; Malik is still in the hospital after being shot four times during the attack.  Kevin Drum forwards on a firsthand account of the shooting.

23 Americans, some or possibly all CIA agents, will find themselves in prison if they ever return to Europe.  The agents, along with 2 Italians, were convicted in absentia of kidnapping a terrorism suspect from Italy and “rendering” him to Egypt.  “Ishmael Jones” claims that this is actually a sign of a risk-averse CIA.

Off-year elections delivered two governors’ offices into Republican hands, though the GOP also lost a House seat in New York that had been held for more than a century.  Analysis trends towards the belief that this shows the beginning of a backlash against President Obama and the Democrats, though others claim that three races don’t provide an adequate sample.  Victor Davis Hanson counsels “wait-and-see.”

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Weekly Web Watch 10/26/09 – 11/1/09

November 3, 2009

Abdullah Abdullah

Abdullah Abdullah withdrew from the run-off election against President Hamid Karzai in Afghanistan.  Secretary of State Hillary Clinton rushed to assure everyone that this would not affect the vote’s legitimacy.  Meanwhile, the New York Times discovered that Karzai’s brother is not only a major player in Afghanistan’s thriving drug trade but also involved with the CIA.  Congress is displeased that, again, they are learning about CIA operations only by reading their newspapers.  But The Economist says that this is nothing new and Philip Giraldi says this is something good.

The economy may be emerging from the recession.  Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner cautioned against excessive optimism but confirmed reports that GDP grew during the last quarter.  Geithner credits the administration and Congress for the growth; so does Steve Verdon, who worries that the governmental stimuli are providing false indicators of recovery. Kevin Drum says that little of the growth is going towards wages.  And Sam Staley may have the best point: It took almost a year for economists to declare that we had been in a recession; it will likely take a similar amount of time for them to discover that we have recovered.

Ali Al-Marri, who was held as an enemy combatant in the United States for six years, has been sentenced to more than eight years in civilian prison for providing material support to a terrorist organization.  The judge said that the sentence, which could have been for as long as fifteen years, was shortened to reflect time that Al-Marri spent in military detention.

Robert J. Delahunty has prepared a paper defending John Yoo’s 2001 OLC memorandum (which he co-authored) that stated that the Fourth Amendment would not apply to any military operations taken against terrorists, even on U.S. soil.  Orin Kerr responds, arguing that Delahunty is constructing an overbroad scheme that provides no guidance for interpretation of current law nor for the interpretation of specific fact scenarios.

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Weekly Web Watch 10/12/09 – 10/18/09

October 19, 2009

Shepard Fairey has admitted that he lied about which photo he used to make his “Hope” poster of then-candidate Barack Obama.  Both photographs in question were taken by the same photographer and both were covered by AP copyright.  However, Fairey’s  work was more transformative of the first photograph than of the one that, well, looks exactly like his poster.  That added transformation would aid him in his fair use claim.  Fairey’s lawyers have filed notice that they intend to withdraw from his suit as a result of his misleading them.

The Obama administration may scrap the pre-emptive war part of the “Bush Doctrine.”  Hat tip to Julian Ku.  Meanwhile, Russia and the U.S. both continue to claim the right to use nuclear weapons in a first-strike capability.

Peter J. Wallison penned an op-ed for the Wall Street Journal in which he points a finger at the federal government for the mortgage crisis.  Wallison points out that the predatory lending theory only tells half the story: Someone had to buy all these toxic assets; often as not, the buyers were government-backed agencies.  Ilya Somin concurs and extends: Not only did government back the purchase of these bad mortgages, they also encouraged excessive risk-taking by the private sector.  Kevin Drum is angered not because of this, but rather because the banks are recovering faster than the rest of the economy because of further government intervention.  And Matthew Yglesias says that we are repeating the pattern.

The Justice Department issued guidelines (.pdf) to prosecutors instructing them to deprioritize the investigation and prosecution of medical marijuana dispensaries.  Jonathan Adler explains that this is a valid exercise of power and thus, like, totally legit, man.

The military is currently meeting all of its recruiting goals.  The Pentagon credits the recession, along with marketing, for the success.  Fred Kaplan, however, says that the Pentagon is fudging.

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Weekly Web Watch 10/5/09 – 10/11/09

October 12, 2009

Alfred Nobel

Alfred Nobel

This happened.  Michael Russnow, a general Obama supporter, is irritated by the “cheapening” of the award.  Jonathan Adler argues that this event is not terribly extraordinary; the Prize has often been awarded to people prospectively.  John Miller explains the differences between Obama and other American presidents who have received a Nobel.  Jacob Heilbrunn runs through the list of reasons that Obama deserved the award.  Eugene Volokh questions whether Obama can accept the $1.4 million prize personally or whether the Emoluments Clause requires that he donate it to the country.  As it turns out, he will donate it to charity.  Jonah Goldberg explains why Obama should not decline the award.  And Anne Applebaum finds it bemusing that we care so much about what five Norwegians think (see also John Podhoretz).  On a more abstract level, I agree with Julian Sanchez that the initial reaction was agreement between right and left that this was an odd choice.  However, it quickly turned into a partisan litmus test, aided by the DNC’s claim that questioning the award means that you support the terrorists.

President Obama ruled out any reduction in the number of troops in Afghanistan.  Fellow Nobel laureate Henry Kissinger approves, but says that the U.S. still needs to pursue more engagement with Afghanistan’s neighbors.

James Joyner takes a break from his vacation to give a nice roundup of the tensions developing between President Obama and his top generals.  Obama was reportedly furious at Afghanistan commander Gen. Stanley’ McChrystal’s comments last week in which he called for more troops; now Gen. David Petraeus is becoming more involved in the White House decision-making process.  David Greenberg, however, cautions that we should not read too much into the situation.

The Federal Trade Commission issued a set of guidelines for bloggers and users of social media.  The guidelines are ostensibly directed at viral marketers who try to ensure that blogs and social media sites give positive press; the rules, however, are written so broadly that any blog could run afoul of the regulations if they do not include an “adequate” notice that they are being compensated.  An Arnold & Porter blog gives a summary of the regulations.  Walter Olson notes the overbreadthSlate’s Jack Shafer calls it a “mad power grab.”  And Ken at Popehat warns that trying to pump up your page views could land you in the FTC’s crosshairs.

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Obama’s Peace Prize: The World Bets on American Leadership

October 9, 2009

It’s a safe bet that President Obama’s first words this morning were something akin to, “I won what??”  This is, after all, the man who conceded that Arizona State had a point in thinking an honorary degree might be premature.  President Obama – whom I admire deeply – has been in office under 10 months, and the menu of world conflicts seems pretty much as long as last January. 

In short, it also seems a safe bet that, in choosing President Obama for the Nobel Peace Prize, the Committee wanted to send a larger message.

As I read it, that message is, “America, we need you.”

The Birthers and Teabaggers will likely say that the Nobel Prize is testament to Obama’s overarching allegiance to European, rather than American values.  Nothing could be farther from the truth.

President Obama has so captured the world’s imagination because he so strikingly embodies an America that the world yearns for – an energetic, diverse, inclusive America that is determined to lead the world, but with the world’s interests in mind.

As the Nobel Committee said, President Obama’s “diplomacy is founded in the concept that those who are to lead the world must do so on the basis of values and attitudes that are shared by the majority of the world’s population.” 

 This statement takes as a given the fact that the President of the United States is “to lead the world.”  It just says how the world hopes he or she will do so.

 This international yearning for enlightened American leadership should come as no surprise.

 There will not be a meaningful international anti-nuclear proliferation regime without American leadership.

 There will not be a rapprochement between the West and Islam without American leadership.

 There will not be lasting peace in the Middle East without American leadership.

 There will not be measurable progress against global warming without American leadership,

 There will not be worldwide progress in the protection and expansion of human rights – and perhaps, most especially, women’s rights – without American leadership.

 These are things for which people around the world yearn.  They do not want America to shed its position of leadership; they want America to abandon unilateralism – the idea that America can lead with indifference to the “values and attitudes that are shared by the majority of the world’s population.” 

 As an American, I have to say I am grateful and slightly amazed that the eight Bush-Cheney years did not utterly kill the American brand abroad.  An agonizing “what if?” question will always be, “What if, on September 12, 2001, America had embraced a less unilateral vision of world leadership?”  How much closer would we be to the imperative international objectives we now seek?

 Because time only moves in one direction, however, Americans should be delighted by the award today bestowed upon our President.  The award is a bet not just on Obama’s future, but on ours.  It is a bet that we can be the America that the world sees in Barack Obama.

Weekly Web Watch 09/28/09 – 10/4/09

October 5, 2009

Analysis of President Obama’s speech to the United Nations continues.  Kenneth Anderson has one of the most well-developed critiques, arguing that the administration is more concerned with multilateralism than with peace.  Meanwhile, Sen. Richard Lugar offered his thoughts on the future of NATO, the senator called for more troops to be deployed to Eastern Europe.

The Senate Judiciary Committee met to mark up proposed amendments to the PATRIOT Act.  The original matchup was between a moderate bill sponsored by Patrick Leahy and one with significantly heightened privacy protections sponsored by Russell Feingold.  However, the first act in the hearing was the replacement of Leahy’s bill with one sponsored by Diane Feinstein that might increase the ability of the FBI to gather intelligence without warrants.  The Electronic Frontier Foundation’s Kevin Bankston liveblogged the hearing here.  Meanwhile, the Justice Department released guidelines that confirm that the FBI is still allowed to conduct “assessments” of groups or individuals without any individualized belief that the target has committed a crime.

Iran’s nuclear facility at Qum continues to perplex some analysts.  Gary Milhollin wrote in the New York Times that the facility must be evidence of an as-yet undiscovered network of nuclear sites.  The Economist says that this ignores how irrationally governments sometimes act.  IOZ is even unkinder as he points out that Milhollin may have already decided Iran is guilty of making nuclear weapons and is taking all evidence to point that way.  The Economist also points out that this marks the third time that Iran has been caught playing fast and loose with the rules of the Non-Proliferation Treaty.  Nathan Hodge says that we may never know the exact capabilities of the Qum reactor.  Christopher Beam has more information on how nuclear inspections work.  The Express (UK) reports that Saudi Arabia has greenlighted an Israeli strike on Iranian nuclear facilities; I have not been able to find a confirming source for that story, however.

Last week, we reported that Vice President Joe Biden had suggested that we move from a counter-insurgency strategy to a counter-terrorism strategy in Afghanistan.  This Thursday, Gen. Stanley McChrystal told the Institute for Strategic Studies that such a strategy would lead to chaos (video and .pdf at the link).  Bruce Ackerman wonders whether the general’s intervention in a policy matter violates the principle of civilian control of the military.  Jonathan Adler thinks that Ackerman (and Michael Cohen) worry too much; this is not disagreement with announced policy, but rather an attempt to influence the formation of a policy that McChrystal, presumably, has valuable experience with.  James Joyner concurs.  Peter Baker points out that President Obama speaks with his theater commanders less than Bush did.  Mark Grimsley says that, historically, Obama’s policy is the more common.  And an attempt by GOP senators to force McChrystal to testify before congress failed on a party-line vote.

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